Track record

Proof, not promises.

Every published price, archived and scored. ↓ lower is better

Calibration · our % vs what happened
Gap to close · our % vs the last market price

By sport, over time

on the prices we published · lower is better

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Closing line value

net of the bookmaker margin

Live models

out-of-sample tests

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Model advances

what is new for you

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Questions

how to read this page
What is a fair price?

Our probability turned into odds, with no bookmaker margin: a 50% chance is a fair price of 2.00. It is the lowest price at which a selection makes sense to us.

What does “value” mean here?

The best bookmaker price is above our fair price, and our probability is above the market’s once its margin is removed. The figure shown is the expected value of a stake of 1 at that price: an estimate, never a promise.

How is this track record measured?

Only on the prices we actually published, archived at the time and never recomputed with a later model. Two figures per sport, and for both lower is better: calibration error, how far our stated percentages sit from what happened, and the gap to the market’s closing price, margin removed.

Is MySyndicate a bookmaker?

No. We take no bets and hold no money. We publish probabilities and prices for information. 18+.

How often are prices updated?

Through the day. Each sport board shows the time of its latest prices.

Nothing here is advice. Every figure on this page is read live from the model cards and settled decisions; the model advances list shows upgrades now live on the site. 18+ · Responsible gambling.